Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於AfD 94%
基督教民主聯盟 5.8%
BSW <1%
綠黨 <1%
$703,067 交易量
$703,067 交易量

AfD
94%

基督教民主聯盟
6%

BSW
1%

綠黨
1%

FDP
<1%

左翼黨
<1%

社民黨
<1%
AfD 94%
基督教民主聯盟 5.8%
BSW <1%
綠黨 <1%
$703,067 交易量
$703,067 交易量

AfD
94%

基督教民主聯盟
6%

BSW
1%

綠黨
1%

FDP
<1%

左翼黨
<1%

社民黨
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市場開放時間: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions