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icon for SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？
科技·大型科技公司

SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？

icon for SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？
科技·大型科技公司

SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？

Polymarket

$1,657,511 交易量

Polymarket

$1,657,511 交易量

>1兆美元

$320,794 交易量

98%

>1.2兆美元

$216,923 交易量

96%

>1.4兆美元

$98,226 交易量

94%

>1.6兆美元

$76,145 交易量

92%

>1.8兆美元

$58,170 交易量

85%

>2 兆美元

$240,110 交易量

67%

>2.2兆美元

$49,712 交易量

50%

>2.4兆美元

$139,445 交易量

35%

>3兆美元

$457,985 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its confidential SEC filing in early April and plans for a Nasdaq listing as soon as mid-June, is the main catalyst shaping trader views on its closing market cap. The company is targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion while raising up to $75 billion, fueled by Starlink's expanding satellite broadband user base, record Falcon and Starship launch rates, and new ambitions around orbital AI data centers tied to xAI. Competitive pressure from rivals like Blue Origin and Rocket Lab in reusable launch systems, alongside Starlink's lead in low-Earth orbit connectivity, supports premium pricing, though supply-chain constraints and regulatory scrutiny on spectrum allocation could introduce volatility. Traders are closely watching the June roadshow and final prospectus for any adjustments to revenue projections or dilution terms that might shift the post-IPO market cap.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,657,511
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its confidential SEC filing in early April and plans for a Nasdaq listing as soon as mid-June, is the main catalyst shaping trader views on its closing market cap. The company is targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion while raising up to $75 billion, fueled by Starlink's expanding satellite broadband user base, record Falcon and Starship launch rates, and new ambitions around orbital AI data centers tied to xAI. Competitive pressure from rivals like Blue Origin and Rocket Lab in reusable launch systems, alongside Starlink's lead in low-Earth orbit connectivity, supports premium pricing, though supply-chain constraints and regulatory scrutiny on spectrum allocation could introduce volatility. Traders are closely watching the June roadshow and final prospectus for any adjustments to revenue projections or dilution terms that might shift the post-IPO market cap.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,657,511
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">1兆美元" at 98%, followed by ">1.2兆美元" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" is ">1兆美元" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">1.2兆美元" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.