**Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues without a ceasefire, shaped by SAF territorial gains in North Kordofan, rising RSF defections, and intensified drone strikes by both sides. Recent SAF advances have disrupted RSF logistics and supply lines, prompting the military leadership to reject any truce allowing RSF reorganization while conditioning talks on full RSF withdrawals from cities. Diplomatic efforts, including UN envoy engagement and a recent prisoner exchange, have produced limited trust-building steps, yet parties remain focused on battlefield outcomes amid failed prior truces. International actors, via the Quad/Quintet and proposed UN arms embargo expansion, continue pressing for a humanitarian pause ahead of September Addis Ababa talks and the UN General Assembly. Cross-border incidents with Chad and internal RSF-allied fractures add pressure but have not altered the core military logic driving low prospects for near-term agreement.**
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$119,399 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
10%
$119,399 交易量
2026年12月31日
$14,861 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.**Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues without a ceasefire, shaped by SAF territorial gains in North Kordofan, rising RSF defections, and intensified drone strikes by both sides. Recent SAF advances have disrupted RSF logistics and supply lines, prompting the military leadership to reject any truce allowing RSF reorganization while conditioning talks on full RSF withdrawals from cities. Diplomatic efforts, including UN envoy engagement and a recent prisoner exchange, have produced limited trust-building steps, yet parties remain focused on battlefield outcomes amid failed prior truces. International actors, via the Quad/Quintet and proposed UN arms embargo expansion, continue pressing for a humanitarian pause ahead of September Addis Ababa talks and the UN General Assembly. Cross-border incidents with Chad and internal RSF-allied fractures add pressure but have not altered the core military logic driving low prospects for near-term agreement.**
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市場開放時間： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$119,399結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.**Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues without a ceasefire, shaped by SAF territorial gains in North Kordofan, rising RSF defections, and intensified drone strikes by both sides. Recent SAF advances have disrupted RSF logistics and supply lines, prompting the military leadership to reject any truce allowing RSF reorganization while conditioning talks on full RSF withdrawals from cities. Diplomatic efforts, including UN envoy engagement and a recent prisoner exchange, have produced limited trust-building steps, yet parties remain focused on battlefield outcomes amid failed prior truces. International actors, via the Quad/Quintet and proposed UN arms embargo expansion, continue pressing for a humanitarian pause ahead of September Addis Ababa talks and the UN General Assembly. Cross-border incidents with Chad and internal RSF-allied fractures add pressure but have not altered the core military logic driving low prospects for near-term agreement.**
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$119,399結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET**Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues without a ceasefire, shaped by SAF territorial gains in North Kordofan, rising RSF defections, and intensified drone strikes by both sides. Recent SAF advances have disrupted RSF logistics and supply lines, prompting the military leadership to reject any truce allowing RSF reorganization while conditioning talks on full RSF withdrawals from cities. Diplomatic efforts, including UN envoy engagement and a recent prisoner exchange, have produced limited trust-building steps, yet parties remain focused on battlefield outcomes amid failed prior truces. International actors, via the Quad/Quintet and proposed UN arms embargo expansion, continue pressing for a humanitarian pause ahead of September Addis Ababa talks and the UN General Assembly. Cross-border incidents with Chad and internal RSF-allied fractures add pressure but have not altered the core military logic driving low prospects for near-term agreement.**
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions