Tennessee’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored in northeast Tennessee’s Tri-Cities region and surrounding rural counties. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and enters the November general with a strong record of prior victories exceeding 78 percent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index near R+29 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or substantial outside spending. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, severe health event for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both would require unusually large shifts to alter the outcome in this low-turnout environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$19,696 交易量
$19,696 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
95%
民主黨
4%
$19,696 交易量
$19,696 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$14,424 交易量
95%
民主黨
$5,272 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored in northeast Tennessee’s Tri-Cities region and surrounding rural counties. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and enters the November general with a strong record of prior victories exceeding 78 percent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index near R+29 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or substantial outside spending. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, severe health event for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both would require unusually large shifts to alter the outcome in this low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$19,696結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored in northeast Tennessee’s Tri-Cities region and surrounding rural counties. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and enters the November general with a strong record of prior victories exceeding 78 percent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index near R+29 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or substantial outside spending. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, severe health event for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both would require unusually large shifts to alter the outcome in this low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,696結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored in northeast Tennessee’s Tri-Cities region and surrounding rural counties. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary and enters the November general with a strong record of prior victories exceeding 78 percent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index near R+29 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or substantial outside spending. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, severe health event for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though both would require unusually large shifts to alter the outcome in this low-turnout environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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