Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late August 2026, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9 percent and several surveys ranging from 33 to 43 percent. Persistent concerns over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and weak economic sentiment continue to weigh on ratings, while strong approval among Republicans has declined noticeably. With September 4 just days away, traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range, reflecting the narrow band where recent data have clustered absent any immediate catalyst that would sharply shift the next measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於38.0–38.4 48%
38.5–38.9 24%
37.5–37.9 15%
37.0–37.4 4.1%
低於37.0
3%
37.0–37.4
4%
37.5–37.9
15%
38.0–38.4
48%
38.5–38.9
21%
39.0以上
4%
38.0–38.4 48%
38.5–38.9 24%
37.5–37.9 15%
37.0–37.4 4.1%
低於37.0
3%
37.0–37.4
4%
37.5–37.9
15%
38.0–38.4
48%
38.5–38.9
21%
39.0以上
4%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late August 2026, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9 percent and several surveys ranging from 33 to 43 percent. Persistent concerns over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and weak economic sentiment continue to weigh on ratings, while strong approval among Republicans has declined noticeably. With September 4 just days away, traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range, reflecting the narrow band where recent data have clustered absent any immediate catalyst that would sharply shift the next measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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