Recent polling shows Donald Trump’s job approval stabilizing at or near second-term lows around 33-39 percent, with net ratings between -20 and -32 points across aggregators such as Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov/Economist, and Silver Bulletin. The latest Reuters/Ipsos survey (August 21-24) recorded 33 percent approval and 65 percent disapproval, accompanied by a notable drop in strong Republican approval from 49 percent in January to 35 percent. Persistent headwinds include the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, which has kept gasoline prices elevated, contributed to falling consumer confidence, and left roughly 80 percent of Americans expecting prolonged involvement. Economic and inflation concerns remain deeply negative in issue polling, while border-security ratings have also turned underwater. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate days prior to August 29, traders appear to view further softening or continued weakness as the more probable weekly outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Up
0% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-04
Up
0% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-04
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows Donald Trump’s job approval stabilizing at or near second-term lows around 33-39 percent, with net ratings between -20 and -32 points across aggregators such as Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov/Economist, and Silver Bulletin. The latest Reuters/Ipsos survey (August 21-24) recorded 33 percent approval and 65 percent disapproval, accompanied by a notable drop in strong Republican approval from 49 percent in January to 35 percent. Persistent headwinds include the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, which has kept gasoline prices elevated, contributed to falling consumer confidence, and left roughly 80 percent of Americans expecting prolonged involvement. Economic and inflation concerns remain deeply negative in issue polling, while border-security ratings have also turned underwater. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate days prior to August 29, traders appear to view further softening or continued weakness as the more probable weekly outcome.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$31結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows Donald Trump’s job approval stabilizing at or near second-term lows around 33-39 percent, with net ratings between -20 and -32 points across aggregators such as Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov/Economist, and Silver Bulletin. The latest Reuters/Ipsos survey (August 21-24) recorded 33 percent approval and 65 percent disapproval, accompanied by a notable drop in strong Republican approval from 49 percent in January to 35 percent. Persistent headwinds include the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, which has kept gasoline prices elevated, contributed to falling consumer confidence, and left roughly 80 percent of Americans expecting prolonged involvement. Economic and inflation concerns remain deeply negative in issue polling, while border-security ratings have also turned underwater. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate days prior to August 29, traders appear to view further softening or continued weakness as the more probable weekly outcome.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$31結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETRecent polling shows Donald Trump’s job approval stabilizing at or near second-term lows around 33-39 percent, with net ratings between -20 and -32 points across aggregators such as Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov/Economist, and Silver Bulletin. The latest Reuters/Ipsos survey (August 21-24) recorded 33 percent approval and 65 percent disapproval, accompanied by a notable drop in strong Republican approval from 49 percent in January to 35 percent. Persistent headwinds include the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, which has kept gasoline prices elevated, contributed to falling consumer confidence, and left roughly 80 percent of Americans expecting prolonged involvement. Economic and inflation concerns remain deeply negative in issue polling, while border-security ratings have also turned underwater. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate days prior to August 29, traders appear to view further softening or continued weakness as the more probable weekly outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions