Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Israel-Lebanon border dynamics and Hezbollah's role continue to shape U.S. embassy staffing decisions in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart in February 2026 amid Iran-related tensions, a status that remained in effect through August and September with the embassy operating on a reduced footprint. Recent developments include U.S.-facilitated talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys in Washington, U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones, and efforts to expand Lebanese Armed Forces authority in the area. These diplomatic steps occur against a backdrop of persistent IDF operations, delayed Rome talks, and the approaching end of UNIFIL's mandate, all of which traders monitor for signs of escalation or further drawdowns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$119,425 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
6%
$119,425 交易量
12月31日
$25,323 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Israel-Lebanon border dynamics and Hezbollah's role continue to shape U.S. embassy staffing decisions in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart in February 2026 amid Iran-related tensions, a status that remained in effect through August and September with the embassy operating on a reduced footprint. Recent developments include U.S.-facilitated talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys in Washington, U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones, and efforts to expand Lebanese Armed Forces authority in the area. These diplomatic steps occur against a backdrop of persistent IDF operations, delayed Rome talks, and the approaching end of UNIFIL's mandate, all of which traders monitor for signs of escalation or further drawdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$119,425結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Israel-Lebanon border dynamics and Hezbollah's role continue to shape U.S. embassy staffing decisions in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart in February 2026 amid Iran-related tensions, a status that remained in effect through August and September with the embassy operating on a reduced footprint. Recent developments include U.S.-facilitated talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys in Washington, U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones, and efforts to expand Lebanese Armed Forces authority in the area. These diplomatic steps occur against a backdrop of persistent IDF operations, delayed Rome talks, and the approaching end of UNIFIL's mandate, all of which traders monitor for signs of escalation or further drawdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
交易量
$119,425結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETOngoing regional security concerns tied to Israel-Lebanon border dynamics and Hezbollah's role continue to shape U.S. embassy staffing decisions in Beirut. The State Department ordered non-emergency personnel and family members to depart in February 2026 amid Iran-related tensions, a status that remained in effect through August and September with the embassy operating on a reduced footprint. Recent developments include U.S.-facilitated talks between Lebanese and Israeli envoys in Washington, U.S. Ambassador Michel Issa's visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones, and efforts to expand Lebanese Armed Forces authority in the area. These diplomatic steps occur against a backdrop of persistent IDF operations, delayed Rome talks, and the approaching end of UNIFIL's mandate, all of which traders monitor for signs of escalation or further drawdowns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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