Ongoing disagreements over Iran's nuclear program, including demands for permanent suspension of enrichment, transfer of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key facilities, continue to stall progress toward any agreement. Recent U.S. rejection of Tehran's May counterproposal as unacceptable, alongside insistence on upfront commitments before broader talks on sanctions relief and the Strait of Hormuz, has reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive deal will materialize by May 31. With negotiations in recent rounds yielding only incremental discussion of phased approaches and no verified breakthroughs, the short remaining timeline limits scope for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$672,585 交易量
$672,585 交易量
2026-05-31
$672,585 交易量
$672,585 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing disagreements over Iran's nuclear program, including demands for permanent suspension of enrichment, transfer of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key facilities, continue to stall progress toward any agreement. Recent U.S. rejection of Tehran's May counterproposal as unacceptable, alongside insistence on upfront commitments before broader talks on sanctions relief and the Strait of Hormuz, has reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive deal will materialize by May 31. With negotiations in recent rounds yielding only incremental discussion of phased approaches and no verified breakthroughs, the short remaining timeline limits scope for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
交易量
$672,585結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing disagreements over Iran's nuclear program, including demands for permanent suspension of enrichment, transfer of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key facilities, continue to stall progress toward any agreement. Recent U.S. rejection of Tehran's May counterproposal as unacceptable, alongside insistence on upfront commitments before broader talks on sanctions relief and the Strait of Hormuz, has reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive deal will materialize by May 31. With negotiations in recent rounds yielding only incremental discussion of phased approaches and no verified breakthroughs, the short remaining timeline limits scope for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$672,585結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing disagreements over Iran's nuclear program, including demands for permanent suspension of enrichment, transfer of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key facilities, continue to stall progress toward any agreement. Recent U.S. rejection of Tehran's May counterproposal as unacceptable, alongside insistence on upfront commitments before broader talks on sanctions relief and the Strait of Hormuz, has reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive deal will materialize by May 31. With negotiations in recent rounds yielding only incremental discussion of phased approaches and no verified breakthroughs, the short remaining timeline limits scope for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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