Stalled diplomacy following the August 2025 Trump-Putin summit in Anchorage has left U.S.-Russia relations strained, with direct talks on Ukraine collapsing over territorial issues and the conflict escalating through 2026. This backdrop positions “no meeting by December 31” as the consensus outcome at 59.5 percent, reflecting the absence of scheduled bilateral engagements or clear momentum for renewed personal diplomacy. China at 32.5 percent draws support as a plausible neutral venue for any high-level encounter, given its role in facilitating indirect channels and ongoing geopolitical balancing. Other locations remain low-probability due to alliance frictions, sanctions constraints, or lack of recent preparatory signals, while the market’s pricing underscores trader focus on persistent deadlock and the limited window remaining in 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於特朗普和普京在2026年的下一次會面在哪裏?
截至12月31日無會面 60%
China 33%
United States 4.1%
Gulf country <1%
$495,883 交易量
$495,883 交易量

截至12月31日無會面
60%

China
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
截至12月31日無會面 60%
China 33%
United States 4.1%
Gulf country <1%
$495,883 交易量
$495,883 交易量

截至12月31日無會面
60%

China
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled diplomacy following the August 2025 Trump-Putin summit in Anchorage has left U.S.-Russia relations strained, with direct talks on Ukraine collapsing over territorial issues and the conflict escalating through 2026. This backdrop positions “no meeting by December 31” as the consensus outcome at 59.5 percent, reflecting the absence of scheduled bilateral engagements or clear momentum for renewed personal diplomacy. China at 32.5 percent draws support as a plausible neutral venue for any high-level encounter, given its role in facilitating indirect channels and ongoing geopolitical balancing. Other locations remain low-probability due to alliance frictions, sanctions constraints, or lack of recent preparatory signals, while the market’s pricing underscores trader focus on persistent deadlock and the limited window remaining in 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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