Stalled U.S.-Russia diplomatic efforts after the August 2025 Alaska summit, which produced no Ukraine peace agreement, have shaped trader consensus around a low probability of another Trump-Putin meeting before year-end. Recent July 2026 phone contacts reaffirmed intentions to continue talks amid ongoing conflict escalation, yet no venue or date has been set, supporting the leading 63.5% share for no 2026 meeting. China's 32% positioning reflects its potential role as a neutral site in multilateral diplomacy, while low odds for Russia, the United States, or traditional European locations align with mutual reluctance and unresolved territorial or security disputes. Scheduled NATO and bilateral discussions could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於特朗普和普京在2026年的下一次會面在哪裏?
截至12月31日無會面 64%
China 33%
Russia 1.8%
Gulf country 1.1%
$413,463 交易量
$413,463 交易量

截至12月31日無會面
64%

China
33%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
截至12月31日無會面 64%
China 33%
Russia 1.8%
Gulf country 1.1%
$413,463 交易量
$413,463 交易量

截至12月31日無會面
64%

China
33%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled U.S.-Russia diplomatic efforts after the August 2025 Alaska summit, which produced no Ukraine peace agreement, have shaped trader consensus around a low probability of another Trump-Putin meeting before year-end. Recent July 2026 phone contacts reaffirmed intentions to continue talks amid ongoing conflict escalation, yet no venue or date has been set, supporting the leading 63.5% share for no 2026 meeting. China's 32% positioning reflects its potential role as a neutral site in multilateral diplomacy, while low odds for Russia, the United States, or traditional European locations align with mutual reluctance and unresolved territorial or security disputes. Scheduled NATO and bilateral discussions could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions