Anthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by late September 2026, reflecting its Claude Mythos and Opus series topping recent math benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K alongside strong arena Elo scores. The tight clustering around 50% for several labs stems from converging frontier performance, where incremental gains in reasoning chains, tool use, and competition-level problem solving can shift standings quickly. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Google’s Gemini releases remain competitive on applied math tasks, while Chinese labs and others trail on independent evaluations. With multiple model updates expected before resolution, traders weigh demonstrated benchmark leadership against the risk of sudden capability jumps from any contender.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 26%
Alibaba 24%
SpaceXAI 23%
OpenAI 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
Anthropic
27%
Alibaba
24%
SpaceXAI
23%
OpenAI
22%
Nvidia
21%
20%
Baidu
19%
Moonshot
19%
Amazon
19%
Xiaomi
18%
ByteDance
17%
DeepSeek
16%
Mistral
15%
Meituan
15%
Meta
12%
Tencent
8%
StepFun
6%
Z.ai
13%
MiniMax
1%
Microsoft
10%
Anthropic 26%
Alibaba 24%
SpaceXAI 23%
OpenAI 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
Anthropic
$61 交易量
27%
Alibaba
$41 交易量
24%
SpaceXAI
$41 交易量
23%
OpenAI
$41 交易量
22%
Nvidia
$41 交易量
21%
$41 交易量
20%
Baidu
$41 交易量
19%
Moonshot
$41 交易量
19%
Amazon
$41 交易量
19%
Xiaomi
$41 交易量
18%
ByteDance
$41 交易量
17%
DeepSeek
$41 交易量
16%
Mistral
$59 交易量
15%
Meituan
$41 交易量
15%
Meta
$41 交易量
12%
Tencent
$58 交易量
8%
StepFun
$58 交易量
6%
Z.ai
$41 交易量
13%
MiniMax
$32 交易量
1%
Microsoft
$67 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by late September 2026, reflecting its Claude Mythos and Opus series topping recent math benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K alongside strong arena Elo scores. The tight clustering around 50% for several labs stems from converging frontier performance, where incremental gains in reasoning chains, tool use, and competition-level problem solving can shift standings quickly. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Google’s Gemini releases remain competitive on applied math tasks, while Chinese labs and others trail on independent evaluations. With multiple model updates expected before resolution, traders weigh demonstrated benchmark leadership against the risk of sudden capability jumps from any contender.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$908結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by late September 2026, reflecting its Claude Mythos and Opus series topping recent math benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K alongside strong arena Elo scores. The tight clustering around 50% for several labs stems from converging frontier performance, where incremental gains in reasoning chains, tool use, and competition-level problem solving can shift standings quickly. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Google’s Gemini releases remain competitive on applied math tasks, while Chinese labs and others trail on independent evaluations. With multiple model updates expected before resolution, traders weigh demonstrated benchmark leadership against the risk of sudden capability jumps from any contender.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$908結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETAnthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by late September 2026, reflecting its Claude Mythos and Opus series topping recent math benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K alongside strong arena Elo scores. The tight clustering around 50% for several labs stems from converging frontier performance, where incremental gains in reasoning chains, tool use, and competition-level problem solving can shift standings quickly. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Google’s Gemini releases remain competitive on applied math tasks, while Chinese labs and others trail on independent evaluations. With multiple model updates expected before resolution, traders weigh demonstrated benchmark leadership against the risk of sudden capability jumps from any contender.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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