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icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?

icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?

12月 31

12月 31

$625,168 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$625,168 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 美國

美國

$16,213 交易量

7%

icon for 義大利

義大利

$15,147 交易量

16%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$49,506 交易量

19%

icon for 日本

日本

$39,871 交易量

22%

icon for 德國

德國

$66,254 交易量

7%

icon for 比利時

比利時

$66,398 交易量

20%

icon for 芬蘭

芬蘭

$37,737 交易量

18%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$171,870 交易量

1%

icon for 希臘

希臘

$45,092 交易量

11%

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$117,080 交易量

19%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western nations, including the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Australia, and Portugal, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly session, raising the total to 157 UN members. This followed earlier 2024–2025 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Mexico amid sustained diplomatic efforts toward a two-state solution. No additional recognitions have occurred in the subsequent eight months. Remaining holdouts such as the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands continue to condition any step on progress in bilateral negotiations, hostage releases, or Palestinian governance reforms. Trader focus centers on whether upcoming UN sessions, peace conferences, or shifts in G7 policy could prompt further announcements before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$625,168
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western nations, including the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Australia, and Portugal, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly session, raising the total to 157 UN members. This followed earlier 2024–2025 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Mexico amid sustained diplomatic efforts toward a two-state solution. No additional recognitions have occurred in the subsequent eight months. Remaining holdouts such as the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands continue to condition any step on progress in bilateral negotiations, hostage releases, or Palestinian governance reforms. Trader focus centers on whether upcoming UN sessions, peace conferences, or shifts in G7 policy could prompt further announcements before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$625,168
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "日本" at 22%, followed by "比利時" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" has generated $625.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" is "日本" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "比利時" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.