Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

icon for 哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$1,665,028 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,665,028 交易量

Polymarket

科威特

$76,142 交易量

10%

索馬利蘭

$117,089 交易量

10%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$349,276 交易量

9%

黎巴嫩

$77,035 交易量

8%

敘利亞

$164,512 交易量

7%

Jordan

$9,994 交易量

7%

Egypt

$7,414 交易量

6%

Qatar

$8,800 交易量

6%

阿曼

$182,170 交易量

5%

阿塞拜疆

$175,784 交易量

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 交易量

3%

Turkey

$487,763 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Gulf states amid US encouragement and shared security concerns over Iran-backed threats. Israeli officials have highlighted Kuwait as a plausible near-term addition, citing shifting regional perceptions and estimating a possible signing within four to six months. Saudi Arabia continues as the most prominent prospective member, with US officials linking progress on civilian nuclear cooperation to normalization, though Riyadh has maintained that any deal requires a credible pathway toward Palestinian statehood. Broader efforts include upgraded Israel-Morocco ties and prior Central Asian accession by Kazakhstan in late 2025, while candidates such as Qatar, Syria, or Indonesia face steeper procedural or political barriers within the compressed 2026 timeline. Trader assessments reflect these catalysts alongside persistent uncertainties in bilateral negotiations and regional stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,665,028
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Gulf states amid US encouragement and shared security concerns over Iran-backed threats. Israeli officials have highlighted Kuwait as a plausible near-term addition, citing shifting regional perceptions and estimating a possible signing within four to six months. Saudi Arabia continues as the most prominent prospective member, with US officials linking progress on civilian nuclear cooperation to normalization, though Riyadh has maintained that any deal requires a credible pathway toward Palestinian statehood. Broader efforts include upgraded Israel-Morocco ties and prior Central Asian accession by Kazakhstan in late 2025, while candidates such as Qatar, Syria, or Indonesia face steeper procedural or political barriers within the compressed 2026 timeline. Trader assessments reflect these catalysts alongside persistent uncertainties in bilateral negotiations and regional stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,665,028
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for 在2027年前，會有新國家加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

在2027年前，會有新國家加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

9%
是
icon for 會有新國家在10月31日前加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

會有新國家在10月31日前加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

5%
是
icon for 黎巴嫩會在12月31日前承認以色列嗎？

黎巴嫩會在12月31日前承認以色列嗎？

10%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "科威特" at 10%, followed by "索馬利蘭" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is "科威特" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "索馬利蘭" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.