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icon for 誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?

icon for 誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?

$1,005,016 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,005,016 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 塔克·卡爾森

塔克·卡爾森

$18,667 交易量

11%

icon for 賀錦麗

賀錦麗

$52,917 交易量

11%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$11,759 交易量

10%

icon for 加文·紐森

加文·紐森

$62,452 交易量

10%

icon for 安迪·比希爾

安迪·比希爾

$9,981 交易量

10%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$8,709 交易量

10%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$13,955 交易量

10%

icon for 史蒂芬·A·史密斯

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$17,212 交易量

9%

icon for 唐·萊蒙

唐·萊蒙

$1,846 交易量

8%

icon for 蘭德·保羅

蘭德·保羅

$19,365 交易量

8%

icon for 泰德·克魯茲

泰德·克魯茲

$14,972 交易量

8%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$29,300 交易量

8%

icon for 瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$20,259 交易量

8%

icon for 史蒂夫·班農

史蒂夫·班農

$15,954 交易量

8%

icon for 唐納·川普

唐納·川普

$58,473 交易量

7%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$8,085 交易量

7%

icon for 亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$42,421 交易量

7%

icon for 馬特·蓋茨

馬特·蓋茨

$2,964 交易量

7%

icon for 布萊恩·坎普

布萊恩·坎普

$3,185 交易量

7%

icon for 拉斐爾·沃諾克

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$2,929 交易量

7%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$1,817 交易量

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,578 交易量

6%

icon for 馬克·庫班

馬克·庫班

$8,496 交易量

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,699 交易量

6%

icon for 喬治·克魯尼

喬治·克魯尼

$5,245 交易量

6%

icon for 格倫·楊金

格倫·楊金

$6,021 交易量

5%

icon for 馬可·魯比歐

馬可·魯比歐

$9,628 交易量

5%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,213 交易量

5%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,057 交易量

5%

icon for 羅伯特·F·甘迺迪(小)

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪(小)

$15,260 交易量

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$23,832 交易量

5%

icon for 羅恩·德桑蒂斯

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$2,379 交易量

5%

icon for 唐納·川普二世

唐納·川普二世

$5,583 交易量

5%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,918 交易量

5%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$4,194 交易量

4%

icon for 克莉絲蒂·諾姆

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$19,819 交易量

4%

icon for 杭特·拜登

杭特·拜登

$51,170 交易量

4%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,363 交易量

4%

icon for 伊萬卡·川普

伊萬卡·川普

$33,823 交易量

4%

icon for 伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$3,705 交易量

4%

icon for 喬恩·斯圖爾特

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$3,510 交易量

3%

icon for 伊隆·馬斯克

伊隆·馬斯克

$9,318 交易量

3%

icon for 喬恩·奧索夫

喬恩·奧索夫

$20,250 交易量

3%

icon for 貝托·奧羅克

貝托·奧羅克

$9,794 交易量

3%

icon for 韋斯·摩爾

韋斯·摩爾

$6,880 交易量

3%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 交易量

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,318 交易量

3%

icon for 希拉蕊·柯林頓

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$14,005 交易量

3%

icon for 莉茲·切尼

莉茲·切尼

$2,844 交易量

3%

icon for 賈里德·波利斯

賈里德·波利斯

$6,143 交易量

2%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$6,574 交易量

2%

icon for 喬什·霍利

喬什·霍利

$7,972 交易量

2%

icon for 米歇爾·歐巴馬

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$14,376 交易量

2%

icon for 約翰·費特曼

約翰·費特曼

$6,985 交易量

2%

icon for 拜倫·唐納茲

拜倫·唐納茲

$10,183 交易量

2%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,943 交易量

2%

icon for 安德魯·楊

安德魯·楊

$14,375 交易量

2%

icon for 蒂姆·沃爾茲

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$5,834 交易量

2%

icon for 巴拉克·歐巴馬

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$10,856 交易量

2%

icon for 菲爾·墨菲

菲爾·墨菲

$3,837 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$4,785 交易量

1%

icon for 切爾西·克林頓

切爾西·克林頓

$13,278 交易量

1%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$3,391 交易量

1%

icon for 湯姆·布雷迪

湯姆·布雷迪

$9,643 交易量

1%

icon for 凱蒂·布里特

凱蒂·布里特

$26,010 交易量

1%

icon for 羅伊·庫珀

羅伊·庫珀

$6,634 交易量

1%

icon for 巨石強森

巨石強森

$10,695 交易量

1%

icon for 邁克·彭斯

邁克·彭斯

$15,536 交易量

1%

icon for 圖爾西·加巴德

圖爾西·加巴德

$6,252 交易量

1%

icon for 歐普拉·溫芙蕾

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$16,575 交易量

1%

icon for 莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$7,864 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties have formed exploratory committees or signaled interest through public appearances and fundraising, yet as of August 2026 no leading figures have formally announced campaigns. Traders assign modest probabilities across names such as Kamala Harris, Rahm Emanuel, Gavin Newsom, and Mark Kelly, reflecting uncertainty over announcement timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Democrats recently advanced discussions on the 2028 primary calendar, while Republican positioning centers on figures tied to the current administration. Historical patterns show early announcements often follow midterm results or party conventions, with FEC filings by lesser-known candidates already occurring but major contenders typically waiting for clearer signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,005,016
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties have formed exploratory committees or signaled interest through public appearances and fundraising, yet as of August 2026 no leading figures have formally announced campaigns. Traders assign modest probabilities across names such as Kamala Harris, Rahm Emanuel, Gavin Newsom, and Mark Kelly, reflecting uncertainty over announcement timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Democrats recently advanced discussions on the 2028 primary calendar, while Republican positioning centers on figures tied to the current administration. Historical patterns show early announcements often follow midterm results or party conventions, with FEC filings by lesser-known candidates already occurring but major contenders typically waiting for clearer signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,005,016
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塔克·卡爾森" at 11%, followed by "賀錦麗" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?" is "塔克·卡爾森" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "賀錦麗" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.