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政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

icon for 誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？
政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

$644,327 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$644,327 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 賀錦麗

賀錦麗

$20,263 交易量

21%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$6,198 交易量

24%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$6,655 交易量

20%

icon for 馬特·蓋茨

馬特·蓋茨

$2,490 交易量

18%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$2,306 交易量

19%

icon for 史蒂夫·班農

史蒂夫·班農

$9,513 交易量

18%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$5,909 交易量

17%

icon for 羅恩·德桑蒂斯

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$1,632 交易量

16%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$134 交易量

12%

icon for 加文·紐森

加文·紐森

$47,737 交易量

15%

icon for 塔克·卡爾森

塔克·卡爾森

$10,779 交易量

15%

icon for 布萊恩·坎普

布萊恩·坎普

$1,649 交易量

14%

icon for 蘭德·保羅

蘭德·保羅

$14,445 交易量

14%

icon for 貝托·奧羅克

貝托·奧羅克

$5,872 交易量

13%

icon for 亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$31,396 交易量

13%

icon for 安迪·比希爾

安迪·比希爾

$4,706 交易量

13%

icon for 泰德·克魯茲

泰德·克魯茲

$11,813 交易量

13%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$1,916 交易量

12%

icon for 約翰·費特曼

約翰·費特曼

$4,720 交易量

12%

icon for 喬什·霍利

喬什·霍利

$3,386 交易量

11%

icon for 馬可·魯比歐

馬可·魯比歐

$4,446 交易量

11%

icon for 賈里德·波利斯

賈里德·波利斯

$3,436 交易量

11%

icon for 歐普拉·溫芙蕾

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$13,659 交易量

11%

icon for 安德魯·楊

安德魯·楊

$8,457 交易量

11%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$0 交易量

11%

icon for 史蒂芬·A·史密斯

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,911 交易量

11%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$18,004 交易量

11%

icon for 莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$4,310 交易量

11%

icon for 莉茲·切尼

莉茲·切尼

$79 交易量

11%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,289 交易量

11%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$302 交易量

10%

icon for 喬恩·奧索夫

喬恩·奧索夫

$1,309 交易量

10%

icon for 拉斐爾·沃諾克

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$1,979 交易量

10%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$5,159 交易量

10%

icon for 拜倫·唐納茲

拜倫·唐納茲

$6,057 交易量

10%

icon for 瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$13,805 交易量

10%

icon for 巨石強森

巨石強森

$3,073 交易量

10%

icon for 克莉絲蒂·諾姆

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$19,596 交易量

11%

icon for 唐·萊蒙

唐·萊蒙

$11 交易量

10%

icon for 唐納·川普二世

唐納·川普二世

$4,236 交易量

9%

icon for 馬克·庫班

馬克·庫班

$1,505 交易量

9%

icon for 蒂姆·沃爾茲

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$4,103 交易量

9%

icon for 喬治·克魯尼

喬治·克魯尼

$4,010 交易量

9%

icon for 韋斯·摩爾

韋斯·摩爾

$6,220 交易量

8%

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$2,794 交易量

8%

icon for 格倫·楊金

格倫·楊金

$5,625 交易量

8%

icon for 湯姆·布雷迪

湯姆·布雷迪

$8,736 交易量

8%

icon for 圖爾西·加巴德

圖爾西·加巴德

$4,458 交易量

10%

icon for 唐納·川普

唐納·川普

$9,060 交易量

7%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$11,382 交易量

7%

icon for 羅伊·庫珀

羅伊·庫珀

$3,405 交易量

7%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$5,800 交易量

7%

icon for 伊萬卡·川普

伊萬卡·川普

$26,943 交易量

7%

icon for 凱蒂·布里特

凱蒂·布里特

$20,465 交易量

7%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$22,054 交易量

6%

icon for 杭特·拜登

杭特·拜登

$31,232 交易量

6%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$2,351 交易量

6%

icon for 伊隆·馬斯克

伊隆·馬斯克

$7,798 交易量

6%

icon for 米歇爾·歐巴馬

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$11,549 交易量

5%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$32,105 交易量

5%

icon for 伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$3,436 交易量

5%

icon for 巴拉克·歐巴馬

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$6,359 交易量

4%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,035 交易量

4%

icon for 希拉蕊·柯林頓

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$8,783 交易量

4%

icon for 羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

$9,482 交易量

3%

icon for 邁克·彭斯

邁克·彭斯

$13,912 交易量

3%

icon for 切爾西·克林頓

切爾西·克林頓

$12,145 交易量

3%

icon for 喬恩·斯圖爾特

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$485 交易量

3%

icon for 菲爾·墨菲

菲爾·墨菲

$2,550 交易量

2%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,028 交易量

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$24,879 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders across both parties continue positioning through media appearances, book tours, and international forums ahead of the November 2026 midterms, though no major candidates have issued formal announcements as of mid-May 2026. Observers note that early declarations often follow midterm results, with historical patterns showing initial bids clustering in late 2026 or the first months of 2027. Key figures including California Governor Gavin Newsom, former Vice President Kamala Harris, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have signaled openness to runs, while Republican prospects such as Vice President JD Vance weigh post-administration options. These developments shape trader consensus on the timing and sequence of declarations before the 2027 threshold.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$644,327
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders across both parties continue positioning through media appearances, book tours, and international forums ahead of the November 2026 midterms, though no major candidates have issued formal announcements as of mid-May 2026. Observers note that early declarations often follow midterm results, with historical patterns showing initial bids clustering in late 2026 or the first months of 2027. Key figures including California Governor Gavin Newsom, former Vice President Kamala Harris, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have signaled openness to runs, while Republican prospects such as Vice President JD Vance weigh post-administration options. These developments shape trader consensus on the timing and sequence of declarations before the 2027 threshold.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$644,327
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rahm Emanuel" at 24%, followed by "賀錦麗" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $644.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is "Rahm Emanuel" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "賀錦麗" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.