Legal uncertainties surrounding OpenAI’s for-profit restructuring and ongoing litigation with Elon Musk currently anchor trader consensus at a 73.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity by June 30. Altman continues to hold no ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company, a position reinforced by recent court filings and testimony disclosing substantial holdings for executives like Greg Brockman while confirming Altman’s absence of shares. State attorney general probes into potential self-dealing and Musk’s breach-of-trust claims introduce regulatory and governance hurdles that historically delay such grants. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming trial developments and any board approvals tied to the conversion process, which traders view as unlikely to resolve favorably within the compressed six-week window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Legal uncertainties surrounding OpenAI’s for-profit restructuring and ongoing litigation with Elon Musk currently anchor trader consensus at a 73.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity by June 30. Altman continues to hold no ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company, a position reinforced by recent court filings and testimony disclosing substantial holdings for executives like Greg Brockman while confirming Altman’s absence of shares. State attorney general probes into potential self-dealing and Musk’s breach-of-trust claims introduce regulatory and governance hurdles that historically delay such grants. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming trial developments and any board approvals tied to the conversion process, which traders view as unlikely to resolve favorably within the compressed six-week window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
交易量
$4,908結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Legal uncertainties surrounding OpenAI’s for-profit restructuring and ongoing litigation with Elon Musk currently anchor trader consensus at a 73.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity by June 30. Altman continues to hold no ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company, a position reinforced by recent court filings and testimony disclosing substantial holdings for executives like Greg Brockman while confirming Altman’s absence of shares. State attorney general probes into potential self-dealing and Musk’s breach-of-trust claims introduce regulatory and governance hurdles that historically delay such grants. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming trial developments and any board approvals tied to the conversion process, which traders view as unlikely to resolve favorably within the compressed six-week window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,908結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legal uncertainties surrounding OpenAI’s for-profit restructuring and ongoing litigation with Elon Musk currently anchor trader consensus at a 73.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity by June 30. Altman continues to hold no ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company, a position reinforced by recent court filings and testimony disclosing substantial holdings for executives like Greg Brockman while confirming Altman’s absence of shares. State attorney general probes into potential self-dealing and Musk’s breach-of-trust claims introduce regulatory and governance hurdles that historically delay such grants. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming trial developments and any board approvals tied to the conversion process, which traders view as unlikely to resolve favorably within the compressed six-week window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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