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特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?

icon for 特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?

特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?

<1% 機率
Polymarket
最新

$1,002,587 交易量

<1% 機率
Polymarket
最新

$1,002,587 交易量

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14-15, focusing on the Iran conflict, trade tensions, Taiwan, fentanyl, and U.S. business access amid CEO delegations from Nvidia, Tesla, and Apple. Trader consensus at 99.3% "No" reflects rigid diplomatic protocols and cultural norms in China, where public displays of affection like kissing are taboo for leaders, with prior Trump-Xi encounters limited to formal handshakes. No recent developments suggest deviation, reinforcing near-certainty; only an unprecedented, verifiable gesture captured on video—such as a cheek kiss in an informal moment—could alter outcomes before resolution post-summit.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.

This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
交易量
$1,002,587
結束日期
2026-05-15
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14-15, focusing on the Iran conflict, trade tensions, Taiwan, fentanyl, and U.S. business access amid CEO delegations from Nvidia, Tesla, and Apple. Trader consensus at 99.3% "No" reflects rigid diplomatic protocols and cultural norms in China, where public displays of affection like kissing are taboo for leaders, with prior Trump-Xi encounters limited to formal handshakes. No recent developments suggest deviation, reinforcing near-certainty; only an unprecedented, verifiable gesture captured on video—such as a cheek kiss in an informal moment—could alter outcomes before resolution post-summit.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.

This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
交易量
$1,003,436
結束日期
2026-05-15
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普和習近平會在峰會上親吻嗎?" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?" is "特朗普和習近平會在峰會上親吻嗎?" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.