The passage of the 2025 tax legislation, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, extended key provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while leaving long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0, 15, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to reduce the top rate, index gains for inflation, or expand housing-sale exclusions have not advanced through Congress amid competing priorities such as tariff implementation and spending reconciliation. With midterm elections approaching and limited legislative bandwidth before 2027, traders see few near-term catalysts for a dedicated capital gains cut. This dynamic supports the current 70 percent implied probability that rates will remain in place through the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The passage of the 2025 tax legislation, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, extended key provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while leaving long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0, 15, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to reduce the top rate, index gains for inflation, or expand housing-sale exclusions have not advanced through Congress amid competing priorities such as tariff implementation and spending reconciliation. With midterm elections approaching and limited legislative bandwidth before 2027, traders see few near-term catalysts for a dedicated capital gains cut. This dynamic supports the current 70 percent implied probability that rates will remain in place through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,576結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The passage of the 2025 tax legislation, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, extended key provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while leaving long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0, 15, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to reduce the top rate, index gains for inflation, or expand housing-sale exclusions have not advanced through Congress amid competing priorities such as tariff implementation and spending reconciliation. With midterm elections approaching and limited legislative bandwidth before 2027, traders see few near-term catalysts for a dedicated capital gains cut. This dynamic supports the current 70 percent implied probability that rates will remain in place through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,576結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The passage of the 2025 tax legislation, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, extended key provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while leaving long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0, 15, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to reduce the top rate, index gains for inflation, or expand housing-sale exclusions have not advanced through Congress amid competing priorities such as tariff implementation and spending reconciliation. With midterm elections approaching and limited legislative bandwidth before 2027, traders see few near-term catalysts for a dedicated capital gains cut. This dynamic supports the current 70 percent implied probability that rates will remain in place through the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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