Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$271,686 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$271,686 交易量

Polymarket

May 15

$562 交易量

41%

May 16

$313 交易量

8%

May 17

$348 交易量

6%

May 18

$728 交易量

11%

May 19

$3 交易量

30%

May 20

$65 交易量

31%

May 21

$0 交易量

40%

May 22

$0 交易量

40%

May 23

$0 交易量

29%

May 24

$0 交易量

29%

May 25

$0 交易量

29%

May 26

$0 交易量

29%

May 27

$0 交易量

28%

May 28

$0 交易量

28%

May 29

$0 交易量

28%

May 30

$6 交易量

30%

May 31

$24 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature YMCA-inspired dance remains a viral pop culture staple, with trader sentiment anchored in his May 5 White House South Lawn appearance where he led students in rhythmic fist-pump moves to cheers, triggering major payouts on prior contracts. A lighter public schedule since then has kept implied Yes odds subdued around 25 percent for the May 31 market, as verified video evidence is required for resolution. Ongoing speculation centers on the China summit with Xi Jinping, where a PLA band performed the track at a state banquet, fueling social media buzz for potential late clips. Historical patterns show odds spiking ahead of rallies, yet the market’s strict criteria—deliberate, music-synced movement captured on film—highlight how quickly entertainment momentum can shift with one confirmed performance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
交易量
$271,686
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature YMCA-inspired dance remains a viral pop culture staple, with trader sentiment anchored in his May 5 White House South Lawn appearance where he led students in rhythmic fist-pump moves to cheers, triggering major payouts on prior contracts. A lighter public schedule since then has kept implied Yes odds subdued around 25 percent for the May 31 market, as verified video evidence is required for resolution. Ongoing speculation centers on the China summit with Xi Jinping, where a PLA band performed the track at a state banquet, fueling social media buzz for potential late clips. Historical patterns show odds spiking ahead of rallies, yet the market’s strict criteria—deliberate, music-synced movement captured on film—highlight how quickly entertainment momentum can shift with one confirmed performance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
交易量
$271,686
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump dance on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 5" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump dance on...?" has generated $271.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump dance on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump dance on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 5" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump dance on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.