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icon for 特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？
政治·Terror

特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？

icon for 特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？
政治·Terror

特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？

是

95% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

95% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,092
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,092
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "到12月31日，特朗普會將巴西的PCC或CV指定為恐怖組織嗎？" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？" is "到12月31日，特朗普會將巴西的PCC或CV指定為恐怖組織嗎？" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普是否會在12月31日之前指定巴西的PCC或CV爲恐怖分子？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.