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icon for Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

icon for Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

$46,227 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$46,227 交易量

Polymarket

May 7

$22,345 交易量

1%

May 8

$1,294 交易量

1%

May 9

$2,859 交易量

1%

May 10

$922 交易量

3%

May 11

$2,981 交易量

<1%

May 12

$913 交易量

4%

May 13

$2,263 交易量

1%

May 14

$2,619 交易量

1%

May 15

$694 交易量

<1%

May 16

$773 交易量

1%

May 17

$1,060 交易量

3%

May 18

$1,597 交易量

13%

May 19

$0 交易量

48%

May 20

$0 交易量

49%

May 21

$0 交易量

49%

May 22

$0 交易量

43%

May 23

$43 交易量

45%

May 24

$0 交易量

42%

May 25

$0 交易量

49%

May 26

$0 交易量

42%

May 27

$0 交易量

49%

May 28

$0 交易量

42%

May 29

$0 交易量

42%

May 30

$0 交易量

49%

May 31

$0 交易量

49%

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.Recent legislative gridlock and administration priorities have shaped trader views on whether President Trump will issue an executive order addressing a specific policy area. Congressional delays on immigration enforcement, energy regulations, and trade measures have increased the likelihood of unilateral action, consistent with historical patterns during divided government. White House statements and cabinet briefings in recent weeks signal ongoing review of options, while scheduled votes on appropriations bills and potential veto overrides remain key watchpoints. The current pricing reflects the balance between these procedural hurdles and the administration’s demonstrated preference for swift executive measures when legislative timelines slip.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
交易量
$46,227
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.Recent legislative gridlock and administration priorities have shaped trader views on whether President Trump will issue an executive order addressing a specific policy area. Congressional delays on immigration enforcement, energy regulations, and trade measures have increased the likelihood of unilateral action, consistent with historical patterns during divided government. White House statements and cabinet briefings in recent weeks signal ongoing review of options, while scheduled votes on appropriations bills and potential veto overrides remain key watchpoints. The current pricing reflects the balance between these procedural hurdles and the administration’s demonstrated preference for swift executive measures when legislative timelines slip.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
交易量
$46,227
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 30" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" has generated $46.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 30" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.