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聯合國 預測與賠率

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Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

55%

Rafael Grossi

$123K 交易量

$40.4K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長?

誰將成為下一任聯合國祕書長?

52%

拉斐爾·格羅西

$76.3K 交易量

$21.6K Liq.

5

Ends 4 個月前

伊朗領導人在2026年底?

伊朗領導人在2026年底?

84%

穆吉塔巴·哈梅內伊

$17M 交易量

$52.8K today

$2M Liq.

122

Ends 6 個月內

中國會在2026年底入侵臺灣嗎?

中國會在2026年底入侵臺灣嗎?

6%

$37M 交易量

$78.0K today

$581K Liq.

73

Ends 6 個月內

中國會在2027年12月31日前入侵臺灣嗎?

中國會在2027年12月31日前入侵臺灣嗎?

14%

$1M 交易量

$134K today

$138K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

88%

Delcy Rodríguez

$190K 交易量

$268K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

中國會在2026年6月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?

中國會在2026年6月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?

<1%

$12M 交易量

$418K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時內

中國會在2026年9月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?

中國會在2026年9月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?

2%

$1M 交易量

$97.5K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

禮薩·巴列維會在2026年領導伊朗嗎?

禮薩·巴列維會在2026年領導伊朗嗎?

5%

$12M 交易量

$119K Liq.

50

Ends 6 個月內

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?

94%

1-2

$85.2K 交易量

$43.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時內

中國會在2027年6月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?

中國會在2027年6月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?

12%

$261K 交易量

$76.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 年內

北韓會在2027年之前入侵韓國嗎?

北韓會在2027年之前入侵韓國嗎?

8%

$307K 交易量

$53.0K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

42%

Scott Turner

$5.5K 交易量

$69.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議?

聯合國安理會決議在12月31日前支持美國和伊朗的最終協議?

40%

$8.4K 交易量

$29.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

伊朗會在2027年之前退出NPT嗎?

伊朗會在2027年之前退出NPT嗎?

12%

$192K 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

2026年7月北韓飛彈試射次數?

2026年7月北韓飛彈試射次數?

52%

1

$23 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

今年還有多少人離開特朗普內閣?

今年還有多少人離開特朗普內閣?

46%

0

$4.1K 交易量

$30.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

28%

$1.8K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

50%

$0 交易量

$157 Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 19 active markets for 聯合國 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Secretary-General of the United Nations”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $81.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “中國會在2026年6月30日前入侵臺灣嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “伊朗領導人在2026年底?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “中國會在2026年底入侵臺灣嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 聯合國 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.