Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader pricing at 53.5% in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election set for September 26, 2026, reflecting her status as BC Conservative leader in a riding the party won in 2024, though recent internal caucus defections and a short campaign window have kept her edge modest. Pam Alexis of the NDP sits at 27.5% as the main challenger in a rematch, with CentreBC’s Lakhwinder Jhaj at 6.5% and other candidates or “Other” priced near 50%. An internal poll from late August showed Findlay at 49% to Alexis’s 34% among decided voters, yet leadership favorability remains close. The tight contest stems from the riding’s mixed partisan history, undecided voters near 16%, and limited time for Findlay to consolidate support ahead of nominations closing September 5 and advance voting. Further polling shifts, candidate debates, or turnout patterns among conservative-leaning voters could widen separation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于凯莉-林恩·芬德利 54%
帕姆·亚历克西斯 28%
拉克温德·贾吉 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
凯莉-林恩·芬德利
54%
帕姆·亚历克西斯
28%
拉克温德·贾吉
7%
凯莉-林恩·芬德利 54%
帕姆·亚历克西斯 28%
拉克温德·贾吉 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
凯莉-林恩·芬德利
$1,564 交易量
54%
帕姆·亚历克西斯
$20 交易量
28%
拉克温德·贾吉
$23 交易量
7%
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader pricing at 53.5% in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election set for September 26, 2026, reflecting her status as BC Conservative leader in a riding the party won in 2024, though recent internal caucus defections and a short campaign window have kept her edge modest. Pam Alexis of the NDP sits at 27.5% as the main challenger in a rematch, with CentreBC’s Lakhwinder Jhaj at 6.5% and other candidates or “Other” priced near 50%. An internal poll from late August showed Findlay at 49% to Alexis’s 34% among decided voters, yet leadership favorability remains close. The tight contest stems from the riding’s mixed partisan history, undecided voters near 16%, and limited time for Findlay to consolidate support ahead of nominations closing September 5 and advance voting. Further polling shifts, candidate debates, or turnout patterns among conservative-leaning voters could widen separation before election day.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,607结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETA by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader pricing at 53.5% in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election set for September 26, 2026, reflecting her status as BC Conservative leader in a riding the party won in 2024, though recent internal caucus defections and a short campaign window have kept her edge modest. Pam Alexis of the NDP sits at 27.5% as the main challenger in a rematch, with CentreBC’s Lakhwinder Jhaj at 6.5% and other candidates or “Other” priced near 50%. An internal poll from late August showed Findlay at 49% to Alexis’s 34% among decided voters, yet leadership favorability remains close. The tight contest stems from the riding’s mixed partisan history, undecided voters near 16%, and limited time for Findlay to consolidate support ahead of nominations closing September 5 and advance voting. Further polling shifts, candidate debates, or turnout patterns among conservative-leaning voters could widen separation before election day.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
交易量
$1,607结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETKerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader pricing at 53.5% in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election set for September 26, 2026, reflecting her status as BC Conservative leader in a riding the party won in 2024, though recent internal caucus defections and a short campaign window have kept her edge modest. Pam Alexis of the NDP sits at 27.5% as the main challenger in a rematch, with CentreBC’s Lakhwinder Jhaj at 6.5% and other candidates or “Other” priced near 50%. An internal poll from late August showed Findlay at 49% to Alexis’s 34% among decided voters, yet leadership favorability remains close. The tight contest stems from the riding’s mixed partisan history, undecided voters near 16%, and limited time for Findlay to consolidate support ahead of nominations closing September 5 and advance voting. Further polling shifts, candidate debates, or turnout patterns among conservative-leaning voters could widen separation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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