Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat since November 2025, have bolstered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government to a slim majority following April by-elections. These defections, driven by alignments on economic policy and calls for stability, reduced immediate pressure for further switches while highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction within Conservative ranks under Pierre Poilievre. Public opinion remains divided on the practice, with some viewing it as undermining voter mandates. No additional crossings have occurred since early April 2026, though reports of talks involving remaining opposition members continue to shape trader assessments of near-term probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-30
May 31
12%
$1,868 交易量
May 31
$255 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat since November 2025, have bolstered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government to a slim majority following April by-elections. These defections, driven by alignments on economic policy and calls for stability, reduced immediate pressure for further switches while highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction within Conservative ranks under Pierre Poilievre. Public opinion remains divided on the practice, with some viewing it as undermining voter mandates. No additional crossings have occurred since early April 2026, though reports of talks involving remaining opposition members continue to shape trader assessments of near-term probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
交易量
$1,868结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat since November 2025, have bolstered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government to a slim majority following April by-elections. These defections, driven by alignments on economic policy and calls for stability, reduced immediate pressure for further switches while highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction within Conservative ranks under Pierre Poilievre. Public opinion remains divided on the practice, with some viewing it as undermining voter mandates. No additional crossings have occurred since early April 2026, though reports of talks involving remaining opposition members continue to shape trader assessments of near-term probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,868结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat since November 2025, have bolstered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government to a slim majority following April by-elections. These defections, driven by alignments on economic policy and calls for stability, reduced immediate pressure for further switches while highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction within Conservative ranks under Pierre Poilievre. Public opinion remains divided on the practice, with some viewing it as undermining voter mandates. No additional crossings have occurred since early April 2026, though reports of talks involving remaining opposition members continue to shape trader assessments of near-term probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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