No US state legislature is currently considering or positioned to hold a formal vote on secession before June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any introduced bills, active committees, or scheduled floor action in the remaining weeks of state sessions. Historical precedent from Texas v. White and the lack of credible legislative momentum in any state capital continue to anchor trader expectations, as symbolic or fringe proposals rarely advance to a recorded vote. The compressed timeline further limits opportunities, with most legislatures either adjourned or focused on appropriations and routine business. While an unanticipated emergency session or last-minute resolution in a state like Texas or California could theoretically trigger market resolution, such steps face significant procedural, legal, and political hurdles that have not materialized in recent developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在2026年6月30日之前，美国州议会有投票决定分离吗？
在2026年6月30日之前，美国州议会有投票决定分离吗？
是
$28,234 交易量
$28,234 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$28,234 交易量
$28,234 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No US state legislature is currently considering or positioned to hold a formal vote on secession before June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any introduced bills, active committees, or scheduled floor action in the remaining weeks of state sessions. Historical precedent from Texas v. White and the lack of credible legislative momentum in any state capital continue to anchor trader expectations, as symbolic or fringe proposals rarely advance to a recorded vote. The compressed timeline further limits opportunities, with most legislatures either adjourned or focused on appropriations and routine business. While an unanticipated emergency session or last-minute resolution in a state like Texas or California could theoretically trigger market resolution, such steps face significant procedural, legal, and political hurdles that have not materialized in recent developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 8, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
交易量
$28,234结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Oct 8, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No US state legislature is currently considering or positioned to hold a formal vote on secession before June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any introduced bills, active committees, or scheduled floor action in the remaining weeks of state sessions. Historical precedent from Texas v. White and the lack of credible legislative momentum in any state capital continue to anchor trader expectations, as symbolic or fringe proposals rarely advance to a recorded vote. The compressed timeline further limits opportunities, with most legislatures either adjourned or focused on appropriations and routine business. While an unanticipated emergency session or last-minute resolution in a state like Texas or California could theoretically trigger market resolution, such steps face significant procedural, legal, and political hurdles that have not materialized in recent developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$28,234结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Oct 8, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No US state legislature is currently considering or positioned to hold a formal vote on secession before June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any introduced bills, active committees, or scheduled floor action in the remaining weeks of state sessions. Historical precedent from Texas v. White and the lack of credible legislative momentum in any state capital continue to anchor trader expectations, as symbolic or fringe proposals rarely advance to a recorded vote. The compressed timeline further limits opportunities, with most legislatures either adjourned or focused on appropriations and routine business. While an unanticipated emergency session or last-minute resolution in a state like Texas or California could theoretically trigger market resolution, such steps face significant procedural, legal, and political hurdles that have not materialized in recent developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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