Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下调 76%
无变化 23.8%
提高 <1%
$140,217 交易量
$140,217 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
1%
无变化
24%
下调
76%
下调 76%
无变化 23.8%
提高 <1%
$140,217 交易量
$140,217 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$41,318 交易量
1%
无变化
$36,461 交易量
24%
下调
$62,438 交易量
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$140,217结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$140,217结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a SELIC rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 17 COPOM meeting, reflecting the continuation of the easing cycle that delivered consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in March and April. The primary driver remains the restrictive stance of monetary policy amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor conditions, which support further calibration even as headline inflation and 2026 expectations hover above the 3% target midpoint. Geopolitical oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions has kept Copom data-dependent and hawkish in its April communications, capping no-change odds near 24% while virtually eliminating hike probabilities. The full April IPCA release and any fresh Focus survey shifts will serve as the key near-term catalysts shaping final positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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