The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于未变 85%
加息25个基点 15%
加息50个基点以上 <1%
降息50个基点以上 <1%
$147,275 交易量
$147,275 交易量
2026-06-18
降息50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
<1%
未变
85%
加息25个基点
15%
加息50个基点以上
1%
未变 85%
加息25个基点 15%
加息50个基点以上 <1%
降息50个基点以上 <1%
$147,275 交易量
$147,275 交易量
2026-06-18
降息50个基点以上
$24,993 交易量
<1%
下调25个基点
$25,323 交易量
<1%
未变
$30,929 交易量
85%
加息25个基点
$41,099 交易量
15%
加息50个基点以上
$24,931 交易量
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$147,275结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$147,275结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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