The Bank of Russia's April 24 cut of 50 basis points to 14.50%—its eighth consecutive reduction—has anchored trader expectations for another decrease at the June 19 meeting, as underlying inflation remains in the 4–5% annualized range and March year-over-year CPI eased to 5.9%. Persistent ruble strength near 74 USD/RUB has further reduced imported price pressures, supporting the baseline outlook for inflation returning toward the 4% target by year-end. While pro-inflationary risks from elevated fiscal spending and external uncertainty keep no-change odds at 12.5%, the market-implied probability of a hike stays negligible at 2.1% given the central bank's signal that further easing remains data-dependent ahead of the next key release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Decrease 86%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 交易量
$50,676 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
86%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
Decrease 86%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 交易量
$50,676 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
$20,172 交易量
86%
No Change
$10,324 交易量
13%
Increase
$20,180 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 cut of 50 basis points to 14.50%—its eighth consecutive reduction—has anchored trader expectations for another decrease at the June 19 meeting, as underlying inflation remains in the 4–5% annualized range and March year-over-year CPI eased to 5.9%. Persistent ruble strength near 74 USD/RUB has further reduced imported price pressures, supporting the baseline outlook for inflation returning toward the 4% target by year-end. While pro-inflationary risks from elevated fiscal spending and external uncertainty keep no-change odds at 12.5%, the market-implied probability of a hike stays negligible at 2.1% given the central bank's signal that further easing remains data-dependent ahead of the next key release.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$50,676结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 cut of 50 basis points to 14.50%—its eighth consecutive reduction—has anchored trader expectations for another decrease at the June 19 meeting, as underlying inflation remains in the 4–5% annualized range and March year-over-year CPI eased to 5.9%. Persistent ruble strength near 74 USD/RUB has further reduced imported price pressures, supporting the baseline outlook for inflation returning toward the 4% target by year-end. While pro-inflationary risks from elevated fiscal spending and external uncertainty keep no-change odds at 12.5%, the market-implied probability of a hike stays negligible at 2.1% given the central bank's signal that further easing remains data-dependent ahead of the next key release.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$50,676结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's April 24 cut of 50 basis points to 14.50%—its eighth consecutive reduction—has anchored trader expectations for another decrease at the June 19 meeting, as underlying inflation remains in the 4–5% annualized range and March year-over-year CPI eased to 5.9%. Persistent ruble strength near 74 USD/RUB has further reduced imported price pressures, supporting the baseline outlook for inflation returning toward the 4% target by year-end. While pro-inflationary risks from elevated fiscal spending and external uncertainty keep no-change odds at 12.5%, the market-implied probability of a hike stays negligible at 2.1% given the central bank's signal that further easing remains data-dependent ahead of the next key release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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