The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% has anchored trader expectations for another cut at the June 19 meeting, where market-implied odds favor a decrease at 84.5%. Sustained disinflation, with annual inflation at 5.7% as of late April and underlying measures holding near 4-5% annualized, supports further easing even as pro-inflationary risks from fiscal spending persist. The central bank's baseline forecast of a 14.0-14.5% average key rate for 2026 and inflation converging to 4.5-5.5% this year reinforces the consensus for gradual loosening amid moderating demand and ruble stability. Traders are watching May CPI data and any shifts in external or fiscal conditions ahead of the next policy statement for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Decrease 85%
No Change 13%
Increase 1.4%
$50,845 交易量
$50,845 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
85%
No Change
13%
Increase
1%
Decrease 85%
No Change 13%
Increase 1.4%
$50,845 交易量
$50,845 交易量
2026-06-19
Decrease
$20,250 交易量
85%
No Change
$10,370 交易量
13%
Increase
$20,226 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% has anchored trader expectations for another cut at the June 19 meeting, where market-implied odds favor a decrease at 84.5%. Sustained disinflation, with annual inflation at 5.7% as of late April and underlying measures holding near 4-5% annualized, supports further easing even as pro-inflationary risks from fiscal spending persist. The central bank's baseline forecast of a 14.0-14.5% average key rate for 2026 and inflation converging to 4.5-5.5% this year reinforces the consensus for gradual loosening amid moderating demand and ruble stability. Traders are watching May CPI data and any shifts in external or fiscal conditions ahead of the next policy statement for confirmation.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$50,845结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% has anchored trader expectations for another cut at the June 19 meeting, where market-implied odds favor a decrease at 84.5%. Sustained disinflation, with annual inflation at 5.7% as of late April and underlying measures holding near 4-5% annualized, supports further easing even as pro-inflationary risks from fiscal spending persist. The central bank's baseline forecast of a 14.0-14.5% average key rate for 2026 and inflation converging to 4.5-5.5% this year reinforces the consensus for gradual loosening amid moderating demand and ruble stability. Traders are watching May CPI data and any shifts in external or fiscal conditions ahead of the next policy statement for confirmation.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$50,845结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5% has anchored trader expectations for another cut at the June 19 meeting, where market-implied odds favor a decrease at 84.5%. Sustained disinflation, with annual inflation at 5.7% as of late April and underlying measures holding near 4-5% annualized, supports further easing even as pro-inflationary risks from fiscal spending persist. The central bank's baseline forecast of a 14.0-14.5% average key rate for 2026 and inflation converging to 4.5-5.5% this year reinforces the consensus for gradual loosening amid moderating demand and ruble stability. Traders are watching May CPI data and any shifts in external or fiscal conditions ahead of the next policy statement for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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