Democratic incumbent Adam Gray and Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 13th district. Gray, who narrowly flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from Proposition 50's redrawn lines that shifted the district modestly toward Democrats while retaining its Central Valley character. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general as Lean Democratic, citing Gray's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and the altered electoral map over Lincoln's profile as a former Stockton mayor and veteran. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited time remaining for major shifts before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
89%
共和党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,377 交易量
89%
共和党
$1,358 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Adam Gray and Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 13th district. Gray, who narrowly flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from Proposition 50's redrawn lines that shifted the district modestly toward Democrats while retaining its Central Valley character. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general as Lean Democratic, citing Gray's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and the altered electoral map over Lincoln's profile as a former Stockton mayor and veteran. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited time remaining for major shifts before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$4,734结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Adam Gray and Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 13th district. Gray, who narrowly flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from Proposition 50's redrawn lines that shifted the district modestly toward Democrats while retaining its Central Valley character. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general as Lean Democratic, citing Gray's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and the altered electoral map over Lincoln's profile as a former Stockton mayor and veteran. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited time remaining for major shifts before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,734结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Adam Gray and Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 13th district. Gray, who narrowly flipped the seat in 2024, benefits from Proposition 50's redrawn lines that shifted the district modestly toward Democrats while retaining its Central Valley character. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general as Lean Democratic, citing Gray's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and the altered electoral map over Lincoln's profile as a former Stockton mayor and veteran. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited time remaining for major shifts before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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