Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 92%
无党派人士 5.8%
民主党 <1%
$108,030 交易量
$108,030 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
无党派人士
6%
民主党
<1%
共和党 92%
无党派人士 5.8%
民主党 <1%
$108,030 交易量
$108,030 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$54,815 交易量
92%
无党派人士
$13,584 交易量
6%
民主党
$39,631 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$108,030结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$108,030结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana's open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal and endorsement, bolstered by President Trump's support and a strong primary performance. Recent polls show Alme leading with 36-49% support in a three-way contest against independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt in Senate contests and limited Democratic consolidation. Bodnar has gained among independents and younger voters in some surveys, yet remains well behind. Trader consensus on the 92% Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals and historical voting patterns, though shifts could occur from late polling changes, turnout variations among key blocs, or unexpected campaign developments before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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