Elevated inflation pressures, with Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting a rise toward 6.4% by year-end against the 3% target, underpin the near-even split in trader sentiment for the Banco de la República’s June policy-rate decision. Persistent core readings above 5.5% and resilient domestic demand have sustained expectations for a 25-to-50 basis point hike from the current 11.25% benchmark, yet the unanimous April hold—defying prior consensus for tightening—introduces caution as policymakers weigh moderating growth and fiscal stimulus effects. Recent data revisions and the upcoming May inflation release remain key swing factors that could tilt market-implied odds between further tightening and a continued pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
Decrease
2%
No change
57%
Increase
53%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
Decrease
$1,531 交易量
2%
No change
$1,408 交易量
57%
Increase
$1,078 交易量
53%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation pressures, with Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting a rise toward 6.4% by year-end against the 3% target, underpin the near-even split in trader sentiment for the Banco de la República’s June policy-rate decision. Persistent core readings above 5.5% and resilient domestic demand have sustained expectations for a 25-to-50 basis point hike from the current 11.25% benchmark, yet the unanimous April hold—defying prior consensus for tightening—introduces caution as policymakers weigh moderating growth and fiscal stimulus effects. Recent data revisions and the upcoming May inflation release remain key swing factors that could tilt market-implied odds between further tightening and a continued pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$4,017结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation pressures, with Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting a rise toward 6.4% by year-end against the 3% target, underpin the near-even split in trader sentiment for the Banco de la República’s June policy-rate decision. Persistent core readings above 5.5% and resilient domestic demand have sustained expectations for a 25-to-50 basis point hike from the current 11.25% benchmark, yet the unanimous April hold—defying prior consensus for tightening—introduces caution as policymakers weigh moderating growth and fiscal stimulus effects. Recent data revisions and the upcoming May inflation release remain key swing factors that could tilt market-implied odds between further tightening and a continued pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$4,017结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation pressures, with Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting a rise toward 6.4% by year-end against the 3% target, underpin the near-even split in trader sentiment for the Banco de la República’s June policy-rate decision. Persistent core readings above 5.5% and resilient domestic demand have sustained expectations for a 25-to-50 basis point hike from the current 11.25% benchmark, yet the unanimous April hold—defying prior consensus for tightening—introduces caution as policymakers weigh moderating growth and fiscal stimulus effects. Recent data revisions and the upcoming May inflation release remain key swing factors that could tilt market-implied odds between further tightening and a continued pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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