Persistent inflation above the 3% target, with April 2026 readings at 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting levels above 6% by year-end, underpins the near-even split in trader-implied odds between a 25-to-50 basis point hike and another hold at the current 11.25% policy rate. The unanimous April pause, which defied earlier tightening expectations, introduced caution as policymakers balance robust domestic demand and fiscal stimulus against moderating growth. Recent data revisions and the forthcoming May inflation release will serve as key swing factors ahead of the June 30 decision, leaving market consensus balanced between additional monetary tightening and a continued pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
Decrease
2%
No change
55%
Increase
51%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
Decrease
$1,531 交易量
2%
No change
$1,408 交易量
55%
Increase
$1,078 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation above the 3% target, with April 2026 readings at 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting levels above 6% by year-end, underpins the near-even split in trader-implied odds between a 25-to-50 basis point hike and another hold at the current 11.25% policy rate. The unanimous April pause, which defied earlier tightening expectations, introduced caution as policymakers balance robust domestic demand and fiscal stimulus against moderating growth. Recent data revisions and the forthcoming May inflation release will serve as key swing factors ahead of the June 30 decision, leaving market consensus balanced between additional monetary tightening and a continued pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$4,017结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation above the 3% target, with April 2026 readings at 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting levels above 6% by year-end, underpins the near-even split in trader-implied odds between a 25-to-50 basis point hike and another hold at the current 11.25% policy rate. The unanimous April pause, which defied earlier tightening expectations, introduced caution as policymakers balance robust domestic demand and fiscal stimulus against moderating growth. Recent data revisions and the forthcoming May inflation release will serve as key swing factors ahead of the June 30 decision, leaving market consensus balanced between additional monetary tightening and a continued pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$4,017结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the 3% target, with April 2026 readings at 5.68% year-over-year and central bank staff projecting levels above 6% by year-end, underpins the near-even split in trader-implied odds between a 25-to-50 basis point hike and another hold at the current 11.25% policy rate. The unanimous April pause, which defied earlier tightening expectations, introduced caution as policymakers balance robust domestic demand and fiscal stimulus against moderating growth. Recent data revisions and the forthcoming May inflation release will serve as key swing factors ahead of the June 30 decision, leaving market consensus balanced between additional monetary tightening and a continued pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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