President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
200+ 58%
180-199 14.0%
140-159 9%
160-179 8%
$22,859 交易量
$22,859 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
6%
140-159
9%
160-179
8%
180-199
14%
200+
63%
200+ 58%
180-199 14.0%
140-159 9%
160-179 8%
$22,859 交易量
$22,859 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
$2,317 交易量
<1%
80-99
$4,871 交易量
<1%
100-119
$1,269 交易量
1%
120-139
$1,167 交易量
6%
140-159
$484 交易量
9%
160-179
$352 交易量
8%
180-199
$585 交易量
14%
200+
$941 交易量
63%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$22,859结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$22,859结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETPresident Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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