Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
200+ 54%
160-179 25%
180-199 14.2%
140-159 11%
$23,462 交易量
$23,462 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
25%
180-199
14%
200+
54%
200+ 54%
160-179 25%
180-199 14.2%
140-159 11%
$23,462 交易量
$23,462 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
$2,317 交易量
<1%
80-99
$4,871 交易量
<1%
100-119
$1,269 交易量
2%
120-139
$1,240 交易量
7%
140-159
$537 交易量
11%
160-179
$416 交易量
25%
180-199
$607 交易量
14%
200+
$1,331 交易量
54%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$23,462结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$23,462结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETTrader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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