Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging nearly 19 posts per day through the first four months of 2026, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. Recent bursts, including a 55-post surge over three hours in mid-May, demonstrate how single sessions can rapidly elevate weekly totals well above the roughly 133-post baseline. Ongoing political developments, including commentary on opponents and policy matters, have sustained this pace without signs of slowdown. The 200+ outcome leads at 55% because such spikes align with Trump’s documented second-term communications style, while lower brackets reflect the lower probability of an unusually quiet period absent major external disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
200+ 58%
140-159 15%
180-199 13.2%
120-139 9%
$20,595 交易量
$20,595 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
9%
140-159
15%
160-179
8%
180-199
13%
200+
56%
200+ 58%
140-159 15%
180-199 13.2%
120-139 9%
$20,595 交易量
$20,595 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
$1,317 交易量
<1%
80-99
$3,871 交易量
<1%
100-119
$1,117 交易量
2%
120-139
$1,084 交易量
9%
140-159
$483 交易量
15%
160-179
$352 交易量
8%
180-199
$557 交易量
13%
200+
$941 交易量
56%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging nearly 19 posts per day through the first four months of 2026, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. Recent bursts, including a 55-post surge over three hours in mid-May, demonstrate how single sessions can rapidly elevate weekly totals well above the roughly 133-post baseline. Ongoing political developments, including commentary on opponents and policy matters, have sustained this pace without signs of slowdown. The 200+ outcome leads at 55% because such spikes align with Trump’s documented second-term communications style, while lower brackets reflect the lower probability of an unusually quiet period absent major external disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$20,595结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging nearly 19 posts per day through the first four months of 2026, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. Recent bursts, including a 55-post surge over three hours in mid-May, demonstrate how single sessions can rapidly elevate weekly totals well above the roughly 133-post baseline. Ongoing political developments, including commentary on opponents and policy matters, have sustained this pace without signs of slowdown. The 200+ outcome leads at 55% because such spikes align with Trump’s documented second-term communications style, while lower brackets reflect the lower probability of an unusually quiet period absent major external disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,595结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging nearly 19 posts per day through the first four months of 2026, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. Recent bursts, including a 55-post surge over three hours in mid-May, demonstrate how single sessions can rapidly elevate weekly totals well above the roughly 133-post baseline. Ongoing political developments, including commentary on opponents and policy matters, have sustained this pace without signs of slowdown. The 200+ outcome leads at 55% because such spikes align with Trump’s documented second-term communications style, while lower brackets reflect the lower probability of an unusually quiet period absent major external disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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