Multiple criminal investigations into former Representative Eric Swalwell remain active following sexual misconduct allegations from several women that prompted his April 2026 congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor race. The Department of Justice, Manhattan district attorney, and Los Angeles district attorney have opened formal probes, yet no charges or arrest warrant have been issued as of mid-May. Standard prosecutorial timelines for gathering evidence and coordinating across jurisdictions in such cases typically span months rather than the remaining two weeks before May 31, supporting the market's 96.8 percent implied probability for no arrest. Late developments such as rapid federal charging or new corroborating testimony could still shift the narrow outcome window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$13,325 交易量
$13,325 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$13,325 交易量
$13,325 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple criminal investigations into former Representative Eric Swalwell remain active following sexual misconduct allegations from several women that prompted his April 2026 congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor race. The Department of Justice, Manhattan district attorney, and Los Angeles district attorney have opened formal probes, yet no charges or arrest warrant have been issued as of mid-May. Standard prosecutorial timelines for gathering evidence and coordinating across jurisdictions in such cases typically span months rather than the remaining two weeks before May 31, supporting the market's 96.8 percent implied probability for no arrest. Late developments such as rapid federal charging or new corroborating testimony could still shift the narrow outcome window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
交易量
$13,325结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple criminal investigations into former Representative Eric Swalwell remain active following sexual misconduct allegations from several women that prompted his April 2026 congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor race. The Department of Justice, Manhattan district attorney, and Los Angeles district attorney have opened formal probes, yet no charges or arrest warrant have been issued as of mid-May. Standard prosecutorial timelines for gathering evidence and coordinating across jurisdictions in such cases typically span months rather than the remaining two weeks before May 31, supporting the market's 96.8 percent implied probability for no arrest. Late developments such as rapid federal charging or new corroborating testimony could still shift the narrow outcome window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,325结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple criminal investigations into former Representative Eric Swalwell remain active following sexual misconduct allegations from several women that prompted his April 2026 congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor race. The Department of Justice, Manhattan district attorney, and Los Angeles district attorney have opened formal probes, yet no charges or arrest warrant have been issued as of mid-May. Standard prosecutorial timelines for gathering evidence and coordinating across jurisdictions in such cases typically span months rather than the remaining two weeks before May 31, supporting the market's 96.8 percent implied probability for no arrest. Late developments such as rapid federal charging or new corroborating testimony could still shift the narrow outcome window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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