Recent Eurozone data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter GDP expansion in Q2 2026, accelerating from flat growth in Q1 and exceeding expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 at 47.5% implied probability. Resilience amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments and higher inflation has tempered full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8-1.0% across ECB, OECD, and IMF projections, while the ECB’s June rate hike to a 2.25% deposit facility and subsequent hold signal tighter monetary policy weighing on activity. Modest July PMI improvements and German fiscal support provide some offset, though elevated energy costs and subdued external demand keep the 0.4-0.7% band at 24% as a credible alternative. Key near-term catalysts include the September ECB meeting and incoming Q3 high-frequency indicators that could shift these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.8-1.1% 48%
0.4-0.7% 24%
1.2-1.5% 9%
0.0-0.3% 4.0%
$18,915 交易量
$18,915 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.0%
7%
0.0-0.3%
4%
0.4-0.7%
24%
0.8-1.1%
48%
1.2-1.5%
9%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 48%
0.4-0.7% 24%
1.2-1.5% 9%
0.0-0.3% 4.0%
$18,915 交易量
$18,915 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.0%
$387 交易量
7%
0.0-0.3%
$466 交易量
4%
0.4-0.7%
$1,202 交易量
24%
0.8-1.1%
$15,459 交易量
48%
1.2-1.5%
$556 交易量
9%
1.6-1.9%
$457 交易量
<1%
2.0%+
$387 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter GDP expansion in Q2 2026, accelerating from flat growth in Q1 and exceeding expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 at 47.5% implied probability. Resilience amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments and higher inflation has tempered full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8-1.0% across ECB, OECD, and IMF projections, while the ECB’s June rate hike to a 2.25% deposit facility and subsequent hold signal tighter monetary policy weighing on activity. Modest July PMI improvements and German fiscal support provide some offset, though elevated energy costs and subdued external demand keep the 0.4-0.7% band at 24% as a credible alternative. Key near-term catalysts include the September ECB meeting and incoming Q3 high-frequency indicators that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$18,915结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter GDP expansion in Q2 2026, accelerating from flat growth in Q1 and exceeding expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 at 47.5% implied probability. Resilience amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments and higher inflation has tempered full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8-1.0% across ECB, OECD, and IMF projections, while the ECB’s June rate hike to a 2.25% deposit facility and subsequent hold signal tighter monetary policy weighing on activity. Modest July PMI improvements and German fiscal support provide some offset, though elevated energy costs and subdued external demand keep the 0.4-0.7% band at 24% as a credible alternative. Key near-term catalysts include the September ECB meeting and incoming Q3 high-frequency indicators that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,915结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurozone data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter GDP expansion in Q2 2026, accelerating from flat growth in Q1 and exceeding expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 at 47.5% implied probability. Resilience amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments and higher inflation has tempered full-year 2026 forecasts to 0.8-1.0% across ECB, OECD, and IMF projections, while the ECB’s June rate hike to a 2.25% deposit facility and subsequent hold signal tighter monetary policy weighing on activity. Modest July PMI improvements and German fiscal support provide some offset, though elevated energy costs and subdued external demand keep the 0.4-0.7% band at 24% as a credible alternative. Key near-term catalysts include the September ECB meeting and incoming Q3 high-frequency indicators that could shift these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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