Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 18, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes. This range aligns with typical mid-May conditions shaped by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southeasterly flow, which limit daytime heating while allowing occasional warmer intrusions from interior air masses. Latest observations show highs of 21.6°C on May 16 and similar values earlier in the week, with no strong warming signal ahead. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs emphasize modest variability tied to cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping probabilities concentrated around the 21–22°C thresholds rather than extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日开普敦气温最高?
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 14.8%
23℃ 11%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
28%
23℃
11%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 14.8%
23℃ 11%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
28%
23℃
11%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 18, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes. This range aligns with typical mid-May conditions shaped by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southeasterly flow, which limit daytime heating while allowing occasional warmer intrusions from interior air masses. Latest observations show highs of 21.6°C on May 16 and similar values earlier in the week, with no strong warming signal ahead. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs emphasize modest variability tied to cloud cover and wind shifts, keeping probabilities concentrated around the 21–22°C thresholds rather than extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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