Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日香港气温最高？
8月3日香港气温最高？
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C or below
$797 交易量
<1%
23°C
$381 交易量
<1%
24°C
$717 交易量
<1%
25°C
$86 交易量
1%
26°C
$128 交易量
5%
27°C
$371 交易量
20%
28°C
$151 交易量
35%
29°C
$793 交易量
29%
30°C
$298 交易量
8%
31°C
$525 交易量
5%
32°C or higher
$223 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,471结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,471结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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