Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,935 交易量
$303,935 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,935 交易量
$303,935 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
$20,114 交易量
<1%
20°C
$12,423 交易量
<1%
21°C
$12,259 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,633 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37,336 交易量
<1%
25°C
$77,404 交易量
100%
26°C
$43,033 交易量
<1%
27°C
$39,653 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25,280 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$303,935结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$303,935结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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