Recent model consensus points to mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 12, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under light northeasterly flow and low humidity. Clear skies promote efficient solar heating, yet proximity to the Sea of Marmara and seasonal cooling from the north temper peaks near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds. Minor differences between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat-island effects, and small spreads among GFS and ECMWF runs. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping precipitation chances near zero and limiting upside to 27 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns against historical September variability when positioning ahead of final forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月12日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
26°C 49%
25°C 43%
24°C 17%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
17%
25°C
43%
26°C
49%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
3%
26°C 49%
25°C 43%
24°C 17%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
6%
24°C
$0 交易量
17%
25°C
$19 交易量
43%
26°C
$223 交易量
49%
27°C
$0 交易量
11%
28°C
$0 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
4%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 12, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under light northeasterly flow and low humidity. Clear skies promote efficient solar heating, yet proximity to the Sea of Marmara and seasonal cooling from the north temper peaks near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds. Minor differences between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat-island effects, and small spreads among GFS and ECMWF runs. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping precipitation chances near zero and limiting upside to 27 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns against historical September variability when positioning ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$242结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 12, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under light northeasterly flow and low humidity. Clear skies promote efficient solar heating, yet proximity to the Sea of Marmara and seasonal cooling from the north temper peaks near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds. Minor differences between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat-island effects, and small spreads among GFS and ECMWF runs. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping precipitation chances near zero and limiting upside to 27 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns against historical September variability when positioning ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$242结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus points to mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 12, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius under light northeasterly flow and low humidity. Clear skies promote efficient solar heating, yet proximity to the Sea of Marmara and seasonal cooling from the north temper peaks near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds. Minor differences between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes hinge on exact timing of maximum insolation, urban heat-island effects, and small spreads among GFS and ECMWF runs. No frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping precipitation chances near zero and limiting upside to 27 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns against historical September variability when positioning ahead of final forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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