Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日伦敦气温最高？
8月12日伦敦气温最高？
31°C 63%
30°C 20%
32°C 15.2%
33°C 3%
$74,178 交易量
$74,178 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
63%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C或更高
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 20%
32°C 15.2%
33°C 3%
$74,178 交易量
$74,178 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C or below
$2,417 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,755 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,417 交易量
<1%
27°C
$4,384 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,025 交易量
2%
30°C
$12,748 交易量
20%
31°C
$14,900 交易量
63%
32°C
$7,440 交易量
15%
33°C
$6,814 交易量
3%
34°C或更高
$6,524 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$74,178结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,178结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETStrong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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