UK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日伦敦气温最高？
5月17日伦敦气温最高？
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 交易量
$171,943 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 交易量
$171,943 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C
$20,639 交易量
100%
19°C
$19,980 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$171,943结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$171,943结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETUK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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