Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月14日勒克瑙的最高温度？
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
39%
33°C
21%
34℃
7%
35°C或更高
9%
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
15%
30°C
$5 交易量
11%
31°C
$7 交易量
29%
32°C
$11 交易量
39%
33°C
$45 交易量
21%
34℃
$0 交易量
7%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$68结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$68结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and rain on September 14, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and easterly steering winds. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daily maxima near 31–34°C rather than the September climatological average of 33–34°C. High humidity levels above 70% and dew points near 26–27°C further constrain peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 32°C as the most likely outcome, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-monsoon setups. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon observations on September 13–14 will provide the key data for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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