Latest AEMET forecasts for Madrid project a maximum of 36°C on June 19 under clear skies and light westerly winds, establishing the central driver behind the market's 42.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with 37°C at 34% reflecting potential for modest afternoon warming from urban heat-island effects or slight shifts in steering flow. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 28–30°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and above-average insolation. Traders will monitor the next AEMET update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the daily maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 13%
38°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
13%
36°C
43%
37°C
34%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 13%
38°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
33°C or below
$530 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,720 交易量
7%
35°C
$1,150 交易量
13%
36°C
$1,351 交易量
43%
37°C
$720 交易量
34%
38°C
$1,169 交易量
8%
39°C
$478 交易量
1%
40°C
$356 交易量
<1%
41°C
$150 交易量
<1%
42°C
$150 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$306 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts for Madrid project a maximum of 36°C on June 19 under clear skies and light westerly winds, establishing the central driver behind the market's 42.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with 37°C at 34% reflecting potential for modest afternoon warming from urban heat-island effects or slight shifts in steering flow. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 28–30°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and above-average insolation. Traders will monitor the next AEMET update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
交易量
$8,071结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts for Madrid project a maximum of 36°C on June 19 under clear skies and light westerly winds, establishing the central driver behind the market's 42.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with 37°C at 34% reflecting potential for modest afternoon warming from urban heat-island effects or slight shifts in steering flow. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 28–30°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and above-average insolation. Traders will monitor the next AEMET update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,071结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETLatest AEMET forecasts for Madrid project a maximum of 36°C on June 19 under clear skies and light westerly winds, establishing the central driver behind the market's 42.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with 37°C at 34% reflecting potential for modest afternoon warming from urban heat-island effects or slight shifts in steering flow. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 28–30°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and above-average insolation. Traders will monitor the next AEMET update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the daily maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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