Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Mexico City highs near 27–28°C on August 2, above the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C, as a warm air mass persists over central Mexico’s high-elevation basin. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture suggest reduced moderation, supporting the market’s concentration around these values. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 26–27°C during similar early-August setups, while 30°C or higher remains rare due to the 2,240-meter altitude lowering baseline temperatures. Updated short-range guidance in the coming hours will refine resolution odds ahead of official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日墨西哥城气温最高?
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
46%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C或更高
1%
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
46%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Mexico City highs near 27–28°C on August 2, above the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C, as a warm air mass persists over central Mexico’s high-elevation basin. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture suggest reduced moderation, supporting the market’s concentration around these values. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 26–27°C during similar early-August setups, while 30°C or higher remains rare due to the 2,240-meter altitude lowering baseline temperatures. Updated short-range guidance in the coming hours will refine resolution odds ahead of official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题