Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a peak daytime temperature in Milan on August 24 near 29–31°C under persistent high-pressure influence and warm air advection from the south. Model consensus supports this range given typical late-August climatology (average highs ~28–30°C), though spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms, and urban heat island effects amplifying readings at official stations. Recent European heat alerts earlier in the month highlight sensitivity to subtropical ridge strength, but no major pattern shift is expected before resolution. Trader weighting toward 28–29°C brackets reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability in daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日米兰的最高温度?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
30°C 14%
27°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
9%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
4%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
30°C 14%
27°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
9%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a peak daytime temperature in Milan on August 24 near 29–31°C under persistent high-pressure influence and warm air advection from the south. Model consensus supports this range given typical late-August climatology (average highs ~28–30°C), though spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms, and urban heat island effects amplifying readings at official stations. Recent European heat alerts earlier in the month highlight sensitivity to subtropical ridge strength, but no major pattern shift is expected before resolution. Trader weighting toward 28–29°C brackets reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability in daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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