Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日旧金山气温最高？
8月2日旧金山气温最高？
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
华氏86度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
67°F或以下
$1,361 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$32 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$26 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$65 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$703 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$16 交易量
36%
78-79°F
$317 交易量
22%
80-81°F
$401 交易量
14%
82-83°F
$1,059 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$889 交易量
1%
华氏86度或更高
$961 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,829结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,829结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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