Traders have converged on a daily maximum of exactly 25°C for Seoul on May 17, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration observations of stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow that produced an afternoon peak matching this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Korean Peninsula supports highs in the 22–26°C range under these patterns, with official monitoring confirming no significant deviations from model consensus. The market-implied odds capture this data-driven certainty ahead of final resolution. Minor shifts in observed readings could still arise from localized measurement variations or late-day changes in wind or cloud cover, though current atmospheric stability makes such adjustments unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日首尔气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$233,917 交易量
$233,917 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$233,917 交易量
$233,917 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have converged on a daily maximum of exactly 25°C for Seoul on May 17, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration observations of stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow that produced an afternoon peak matching this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Korean Peninsula supports highs in the 22–26°C range under these patterns, with official monitoring confirming no significant deviations from model consensus. The market-implied odds capture this data-driven certainty ahead of final resolution. Minor shifts in observed readings could still arise from localized measurement variations or late-day changes in wind or cloud cover, though current atmospheric stability makes such adjustments unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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